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    Drought conditions worsen in upper Missouri River Basin

    Corps updates stakeholders on Missouri River Mainstem System operations

    Photo By Eileen Williamson | Public Meetings are held each spring and fall across the Missouri River basin. Fall...... read more read more

    OMAHA, NEBRASKA, UNITED STATES

    10.07.2022

    Story by Eileen Williamson 

    U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, Northwestern Division

    September precipitation was once again below average in the Missouri River Basin. September runoff in the Missouri River Basin above Sioux City, Iowa was 0.6 million acre-feet, 47% of the long-term average. Soil conditions in the upper Missouri River Basin continue to be very dry. According to the Drought Mitigation Center, over 90% of the Missouri River basin is currently experiencing some form of abnormally dry conditions or drought, which is almost a 20% increase from the end of August.

    “Runoff in the upper Missouri River Basin was below average during the month of September and is expected to remain low throughout the rest of 2022,” said John Remus, chief of the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers’ Missouri River Basin Water Management Division.

    “Releases from Gavins Point Dam will continue to be set to maintain a service level 500 cubic feet-per-second above the minimum service level,” Remus added.

    The 2022 calendar year runoff forecast for the upper Basin, updated on Oct. 1, is 19.5 MAF, 76% of average and 0.7 MAF lower than last month’s annual runoff forecast. Average annual runoff for the upper Basin is 25.7 MAF.

    Total System storage as of Oct. 5 was 48.5 MAF, which is 7.6 MAF the base of the flood control zone. Due to the extremely dry conditions in the upper Missouri River Basin, the System is expected to lose an additional 2.0 MAF before the 2023 runoff season begins in March of 2023.

    Navigation

    Gavins Point Dam releases will be set to provide navigation flow support at a level 500 cfs above minimum service at all four target locations (Sioux City, Omaha, Nebraska City, and Kansas City). Season support will end on Nov. 28 at the mouth of the Missouri River

    Winter Release Rate

    As per the criteria in the Maser Manual, the winter release rate is determined based on the Sept. 1 System storage. Per the Sept. 1 System storage, winter releases from Gavins Point Dam will be at the minimum rate of 12,000 cfs. In anticipation of the low winter releases, a letter was sent in early July to all water users below Gavins Point Dam making them aware of the planned releases, and encouraging them to assess the risk to their facilities. The volume of water in the Missouri River downstream of the System will be adequate for water supply needs. However, the USACE cannot guarantee access to the water. Access to the water is the responsibility of the individual intake owner/operators.

    Draft Annual Operating Plan

    In mid-September, the USACE posted the draft 2022-2023 Annual Operating Plan on its website at: https://www.nwd.usace.army.mil/MRWM/Public-Meetings/. The comment period on the draft AOP will close Nov. 23.

    Fall Public Meetings

    Fall public meetings will be held the week of Oct. 24-28. Specific dates, times and locations are listed below and can be found on the website at https://www.nwd.usace.army.mil/MRWM/Public-Meetings/.

    Monday, October 24 – Fort Peck, Montana

    Start time: 11:00 a.m. (MDT)
    Fort Peck Interpretative Center
    Lower Yellowstone Rd.
    Monday, October 24 – Bismarck, North Dakota

    Start time: 5 p.m. (CDT)
    Bismarck State College, National Energy Center of Excellence (NECE), Bldg. 15, Bavendick Stateroom
    1200 Schafer Street
    Tuesday, October 25 – Fort Pierre, South Dakota

    Start time: 10 a.m. (CDT)
    Casey Tibbs Conference Center
    210 Verendrye Drive
    Tuesday, October 25 – Sioux City, Iowa

    Start time: 4 p.m. (CDT)
    Lewis & Clark Interpretive Center, Betty Strong Encounter Center
    900 Larsen Park Rd.
    Wednesday, October 26 – Smithville, Missouri

    Start time: 11 a.m. (CDT)
    Jerry Litton Visitor Center, Smithville Dam
    16311 DD Hwy.
    Wednesday, October 26 – Nebraska City, Nebraska

    Start time: 5 p.m. (CDT)
    Steinhart Lodge
    1888 Steinhart Park Rd
    Thursday, October 27 – St. Louis, Missouri

    Start time: 10:30 a.m. (CDT)
    Due to scheduling conflicts, this meeting has been canceled. We will provide a recording of our meeting presentations. Attendees may contact us with questions or queries. 
    If necessary, a virtual meeting may be scheduled at a later date. 
    VUE 17
    1034 S. Brentwood Blvd, #1700
    Reservoir Forecasts:

    Gavins Point Dam
    Average releases past month – 31,000 cfs
    Current release rate – 32,000 cfs (as of October 4)
    Forecast release rate – 32,300 cfs (month of October)
    End-of-September reservoir level – 1207.5 feet
    Forecast end-of-October reservoir level – 1207.5 feet
    Notes: Releases will be adjusted as necessary to meet all downstream navigation targets.

    Fort Randall Dam
    Average releases past month – 29,900 cfs
    End-of-September reservoir level – 1353.4 feet
    Forecast end-of-October reservoir level – 1344.1 feet
    Notes: Releases will be adjusted as necessary to maintain the desired reservoir elevation at Gavins Point. The Fort Randall pool is normally drawn down to 1337.5 feet in the fall to provide space for winter hydropower generation at Oahe and Big Bend. The annual drawdown will continue in October and November.

    Big Bend Dam
    Average releases past month – 28,900 cfs
    Forecast average release rate – 19,500 cfs
    Forecast reservoir level – 1420.8 feet

    Oahe Dam
    Average releases past month – 29,100 cfs
    Forecast average release rate – 20,300 cfs
    End-of-September reservoir level – 1593.0 feet
    Forecast end-of-October reservoir level – 1591.3 feet

    Garrison Dam
    Average releases past month – 17,800 cfs
    Current release rate – 14,000 cfs
    Forecast average release rate – 14,000 cfs
    End-of-September reservoir level – 1834.0 feet
    Forecast end-of-October reservoir level – 1833.1 feet

    Fort Peck Dam
    Average releases past month – 7,700 cfs
    Current release rate – 4,000 cfs
    Forecast average release rate – 4,100 cfs
    End-of-September reservoir level – 2219.7 feet
    Forecast end-of-October reservoir level – 2219.5 feet
    The forecast reservoir releases and elevations discussed above are not definitive. Additional precipitation, lack of precipitation or other circumstances could cause adjustments to the reservoir release rates.

    Hydropower:

    The six mainstem power plants generated 832 million kWh of electricity in September. Typical energy generation for September is 902 million kWh. The power plants are projected to generate 7.4 billion kWh of electricity this year, compared to the long-term average of 9.4 billion kWh.

    To view the detailed three-week release forecast for the mainstem dams, go to http://go.usa.gov/xVgWr.

    NEWS INFO

    Date Taken: 10.07.2022
    Date Posted: 10.07.2022 10:54
    Story ID: 430951
    Location: OMAHA, NEBRASKA, US

    Web Views: 233
    Downloads: 0

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